Crypto Better Than Stocks Amid Iran–Israel Conflict? Bitcoin’s Stability Signals $150K Potential

While geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel have rattled global markets, Bitcoin has shown surprising resilience. In contrast to the volatility seen in US equities, Bitcoin’s price movements have remained relatively calm—even after the US bombing of Iranian targets sent shockwaves through the region. 

As of late June 2025, analysts are asking: is crypto, particularly Bitcoin, emerging as a safer and more stable long-term asset than traditional stocks?

READ ALSO: Best Crypto to Buy Amid Iran vs Israel Conflict

Bitcoin’s Volatility Falls Below US Stocks

According to Bitwise Europe’s Head of Research André Dragosch, Bitcoin’s 60-day realized volatility now stands at just 27%–28%. That’s lower than the S&P 500 (~30%), Nasdaq 100 (~35%), and even the high-flying “Magnificent 7” tech stocks (~40%).

This is particularly notable given that Bitcoin once had a reputation for wild price swings. At the height of the Russia–Ukraine conflict in 2022, Bitcoin’s volatility soared above 60%, far exceeding stock market norms. But in the current conflict scenario, Bitcoin appears to be stabilizing—even maturing—as an asset class.

Source: TradingView

Long-Term Holders Dominate Supply, Reducing Market Shock

One reason for this newfound stability is the behavior of long-term holders. Glassnode reports that a record 14.53 million BTC—nearly 70% of Bitcoin’s maximum supply—is now held by long-term investors. These holders are less likely to panic sell during global crises, reducing available supply and damping volatility.

In fact, over 30% of circulating Bitcoin is currently held by just 216 centralized entities, including ETFs, exchanges, and corporate treasuries. This tight ownership structure has a stabilizing effect on the market, insulating it from the more emotional retail-driven sell-offs.

READ ALSO: After Iran-Israel Ceasefire Announcement, Crypto Market Strengthens: Will Bitcoin Reach New ATH?

Market Confidence and the $150K Price Target

Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the $100,000 mark, even amid geopolitical unrest, is drawing bullish forecasts from analysts and institutional leaders alike. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes and OSL executive Eugene Cheung both believe Bitcoin will continue its upward trajectory due to global monetary expansion and increasing institutional adoption.

Some projections suggest Bitcoin could reach $150,000 before the end of 2025, especially if central banks maintain dovish policies and retail adoption continues to grow. The growing supply held by long-term investors only reinforces this potential, as reduced circulation adds to price pressure.

Bitrue: A Safe Option for Buying BTC in Uncertain Times

If you’re looking to invest in Bitcoin during this volatile period, Bitrue offers a secure, easy-to-use platform. After completing KYC verification, users can access spot trading and manage their assets with institutional-grade tools, making it a reliable choice for both new and seasoned crypto investors.

Conclusion

While the Iran–Israel conflict has disrupted traditional markets, Bitcoin’s calm under pressure is turning heads. With volatility dropping below that of major stock indexes and long-term holders tightening supply, Bitcoin is showing signs of true asset maturity. As confidence builds and adoption widens, Bitcoin might not just survive the storm—it could soar through it.

READ ALSO: Zionist Israel attacks Iran; how will it affect the crypto market?

FAQ

1. Why is Bitcoin less volatile than stocks right now?

Long-term holders control most of the supply, and institutional adoption has reduced speculative trading, stabilizing BTC’s price even during crises.

2. How much Bitcoin is held by long-term holders?

As of June 2025, long-term holders own over 14.53 million BTC—almost 70% of the total possible supply.

3. Is Bitcoin safer than stocks during geopolitical conflicts?

Recent data suggests Bitcoin may be more stable than US equities during geopolitical unrest, though all investments carry risk.

4. What is the projected Bitcoin price by end-2025?

Some analysts predict BTC could surpass $150,000 by the end of 2025, driven by institutional demand and reduced circulating supply.

5. Where can I buy Bitcoin safely?

Bitrue offers a secure platform to buy and trade Bitcoin after completing standard KYC verification.