TRON (TRX) Set for a 25% Surge as $0.36 Breakout Looms

TRON (TRX) is on the verge of a potential 25% rally, with its price testing the critical $0.36 resistance. 

Fueled by robust fundamentals, technical momentum, and growing network activity, TRX is grabbing traders’ attention. Will it soar to new highs or face a pullback? Let’s break down what’s driving this bullish setup.

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Why TRON’s Price Is Gaining Traction

TRON’s ecosystem is booming, backed by a stellar Q2 2025 performance. Tron Inc. reported a net income of $1.47 million on August 11, a massive turnaround from last year’s losses. 

Shareholders’ equity skyrocketed 3,500% to $111 million, showcasing financial strength that’s boosting investor optimism for TRX’s future.

$1 Billion Buyback Ignites Rally

On August 4, TRON announced a $1 billion buyback program, sparking an 8% price surge past $0.33. 

This bold move signals management’s confidence in TRX’s long-term value and provides a solid price floor. Despite recent profit-taking, with $2.95 million in net outflows on August 9, the buyback continues to support bullish sentiment.

Read Also: Does TRX Have A Bank? Looking at TronBank Updates and Staking Opportunities

Technical Analysis: TRX at a Critical Juncture

TRX is hovering near $0.35, challenging the $0.36 resistance that’s capped prior rallies. A decisive break above this level could drive TRX to $0.42 even $0.45, a 25% upside. 

The chart shows a bullish cup-and-handle pattern, a reliable signal for continuation, especially if volume spikes on the breakout.

Overbought Signals Warrant Caution

• RSI Overbought: TRX’s RSI at 75.03 is in overbought territory above 70, hinting at a possible consolidation or pullback.

• MACD Slowing: The MACD shows bullish momentum with a positive histogram (0.0010), but a narrowing spread between the MACD line (0.0105) and signal line (0.0095) suggests momentum may be fading.

Traders should watch for strong volume to confirm a breakout, as the Stochastic oscillator (%K at 95.74, %D at 90.97) reinforces the overbought condition, indicating a potential pause before the next move. 

Key Price Levels to Monitor

The $0.36 resistance is the key hurdle. A clean break could target $0.42-$0.45, aligning with Fibonacci extension levels. 

Support sits at $0.35, with a stronger base at $0.32, offering an 11% buffer. If $0.35 fails, a dip to $0.32 could attract buyers, as it’s historically been a strong accumulation zone.

Volume and Volatility Insights

Spot data shows $170.4 million in daily TRX/USDT volume, reflecting robust liquidity for institutional traders. 

The Average True Range (ATR) of $0.01 indicates moderate volatility, ideal for swing trading. On-chain data reveals daily transactions surpassing 8 million, signaling growing network adoption.

Read Also: Is There a Tron Based Partnership Between Justin Sun and Eric Trump?

TRON’s Ecosystem Powers Long-Term Growth

TRON’s network is a DeFi powerhouse, hosting over $80.7 billion in USDT and surpassing Ethereum in stablecoin transfers. 

Daily active addresses surged from 2.8 million to 4.6 million in 2025, driven by TRON’s low-cost, high-speed transactions, making it a go-to chain for DeFi and stablecoin users.

Tokenomics and Strategic Moves

• Reduced Inflation: A proposed 50% cut in TRX block rewards aims to tighten supply, supporting price growth by reducing inflation.

• Nasdaq and ETF Ambitions: TRON’s Nasdaq listing and ETF application signal mainstream adoption, boosting investor confidence.

These developments strengthen TRON’s fundamentals, positioning it as a top contender in the blockchain space.

Should You Jump into TRX Now?

Aggressive traders might capitalize on a $0.36 breakout, targeting $0.42-$0.45, but the overbought RSI suggests caution. 

Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to $0.33-$0.31 for better entries. Placing stop-losses below $0.31 can protect against sharp corrections, especially given the 10-15% downside risk.

Long-Term Investment Potential

Long-term investors have plenty to like. The $1 billion buyback and record financials provide a strong foundation, while TRON’s dominance in stablecoin transfers and DeFi supports sustained growth. 

Analysts project TRX could reach $0.50 by 2026, driven by ecosystem expansion and tokenomics upgrades.

Market Sentiment and External Factors

The broader crypto market is showing signs of recovery in 2025, with Bitcoin and Ethereum posting gains. This positive sentiment could lift TRX, especially if market liquidity improves. 

However, macroeconomic factors like interest rate hikes could temper short-term gains, so traders should stay vigilant.

Community and Developer Activity

TRON’s developer community is thriving, with over 1,500 active projects building on the network.

Social sentiment on platforms like X shows growing excitement, with #TRX trending as users discuss the $0.36 breakout potential. This buzz could amplify price momentum if the breakout materializes.

Read Also: TRON Adopts Chainlink to Enhance Data Accuracy

Conclusion

TRON (TRX) is at a pivotal moment, with a potential 25% rally to $0.45 if it conquers the $0.36 resistance. Strong fundamentals, including record Q2 earnings, a $1 billion buyback, and booming network activity, fuel the bullish case. 

Despite overbought signals, the $0.35 support keeps the uptrend intact. Traders should monitor volume and price action closely, while long-term investors can lean on TRON’s growing DeFi dominance and strategic moves. With a tightening token supply and mainstream ambitions, TRX is poised for significant growth in 2025.

FAQ

What’s the key breakout level for TRX?

$0.36 is the make-or-break resistance. A clean break could send TRX to $0.42–$0.45.

Why is TRX’s price momentum strong right now?

Record Q2 earnings, a $1B buyback, and booming network activity are fueling the rally.

What do technical indicators say?

Cup-and-handle pattern points bullish, but RSI above 75 warns of overbought conditions.

Where’s the strong support zone?

$0.35 is immediate support, with a solid base at $0.32 for potential bounce entries.

How is TRON’s ecosystem boosting long-term growth?

Dominance in stablecoin transfers, DeFi expansion, and a proposed 50% reward cut strengthen fundamentals.

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