Should I Buy XRP Now? Price Outlook and Investor Insights

XRP has been moving cautiously in recent weeks, with its price hovering around $2.77 after a 14% drop. Analysts note that the critical support level lies at $2.75, a point where nearly 1.58 billion XRP were acquired, suggesting strong demand.

Holding this level could ignite a recovery, potentially boosted by upcoming ETF approvals and the return of institutional capital.

While October has historically been challenging for XRP, data shows that the last quarter of the year often delivers significant gains, making mid-October a key turning point for investors.

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Key Takeaways

1. XRP price must hold $2.75 to trigger a potential recovery.

2. ETFs and institutional inflows could create bullish momentum in late 2025.

3. Historical trends show Q4 is the strongest quarter for XRP rallies.

XRP Key Support Levels and Technical Outlook

Analysts are watching $2.75 closely, which coincides with the lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle on XRP’s daily chart.

Maintaining this level increases the chances of a breakout above the descending trendline near $2.86, aligned with the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). A successful breakout could push XRP toward the bullish target of $3.62.

Technical Highlights

• Support Zone: $2.75-$2.77

• Resistance Level: $2.81, reinforced by the 100-day SMA

• Bullish Target: $3.62 if support holds

Conversely, a drop below $2.75 could trigger a further sell-off toward $2.00, marking the lower boundary of the triangle.

Analysts emphasize that consolidation around $2.75 strengthens the potential for a significant breakout, but short-term supply walls around $2.81 could limit upward moves.

Demand Distribution

• A large cluster of XRP was acquired at $2.75, providing a strong floor.

• Fibonacci analysis suggests potential short-term dips to $2.50 before recovery.

• Holding above $2.72-$2.75 keeps upside potential in play for traders and investors.

Read Also: XRP September 2025 Warning: Will Price Crash 10% or Surprise with a Bullish Rebound?

ETF Approvals and Institutional Influence

One of the biggest catalysts for XRP in the coming months is the potential approval of XRP ETFs.

Key SEC decisions are scheduled throughout October, with Grayscale’s application expected around mid-October and other applications closing later in the month.

How ETFs Could Impact XRP

• Capital Inflows: Analysts predict $4-8 billion in first-year ETF inflows if approvals materialize.

• Price Momentum: Positive ETF news could trigger renewed investor interest, potentially lifting XRP above resistance levels.

• Market Psychology: Partially priced-in expectations may lead to short-term “sell the news” scenarios, so caution is advised.

Institutional Participation

• Spot ETF approvals attract larger institutional investors, providing stability.

• Mid-October could mark the start of a broader Q4 rally if support holds.

• Despite October historically being weak, Q4 performance averages 51% gains, suggesting potential for upside.

Read Also: XRP ETF Approval: Will It Trigger a Massive Price Surge or Collapse?

Historical Performance and Investment Outlook

XRP has historically struggled in October, closing in the red in seven of the past twelve years, with an average return of -4.58%. However, the last quarter consistently delivers strong gains:

Key Historical Insights

• Q4 2024: Rally of 240%

• Q4 2023: Gain of 20%

• 2017 Q4: Exponential gains of over 1,000%

Even during bear cycles like 2018 and 2022, XRP’s losses were exceptions rather than the rule. This pattern highlights the potential for a strong rebound if the $2.75 support holds and catalysts such as ETFs and institutional inflows align.

Investment Considerations

• Risk Management: Ensure positions are sized to withstand short-term volatility.

• Entry Point: Buying near the $2.75 support may provide a favorable risk-reward ratio.

• Long-Term Outlook: Historical trends suggest Q4 is an optimal window for significant rallies.

Read Also: XRP Price Surge Targets $3 Breakout as Ripple Update Ignites Bulls

Conclusion

XRP’s current consolidation around $2.75 is a critical juncture for both traders and long-term investors.

If support holds, upcoming ETF approvals and renewed institutional interest could spark a notable recovery, potentially extending into Q4 2025.

Historical data reinforces the potential for significant upside during the last quarter, despite the traditionally weak performance in October.

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FAQ

What is the current support level for XRP?

The key support level is $2.75, where strong buying demand exists.

Could XRP price fall below $2.75?

Yes, a drop below this level may trigger a sell-off toward $2.00.

How could ETFs affect XRP’s price?

ETF approvals could bring $4-8 billion in inflows and create bullish momentum.

Is October a good month to invest in XRP?

Historically, October is weak, but Q4 has produced strong gains, making mid-October a potential entry point.

How can I buy XRP safely?

Using a secure trading platform like Bitrue allows safe XRP purchases with transparent tools and strong security.

Disclaimer: The views expressed belong exclusively to the author and do not reflect the views of this platform. This platform and its affiliates disclaim any responsibility for the accuracy or suitability of the information provided. It is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial or investment advice.