How Low Can XRP Go? Key Price Levels After the Market Crash

XRP traded near $1.09 to $1.10 on November 10, 2026, about 18% below its November 4 intraday high of $1.3353 and roughly 70% below its July 2025 record of $3.65. 

A leveraged sell-off on November 8 took it to the lowest level since August, and analysts now argue about whether $1.00 holds. Nobody can say how low XRP will go, but the sources agree on which levels matter. 

This article maps them, compares the drop with earlier corrections, explains the drivers, and lays out bearish, base and recovery scenarios with the reasoning behind each. It is educational content, not financial advice, and every figure is a snapshot.

Key Takeaways

• Nearest support is $1.09 to $1.10, the Fibonacci confluence zone and Sunday's low ($1.093).

• $1.00 is the main reference, with the August 2026 low just below it at $0.9847 to $0.9927 depending on the source.

• Below $1.00, marked supports thin out. The Crypto Basic points to $0.87 to $0.90.

• Leverage drove much of the fall. CryptoTicker reports 92% of $604 million in November 8 liquidations were longs.

• Today's US CPI release is a scheduled risk, per CryptoTicker.

What Happened to XRP

• October: 24/7 Wall St. reports a fall of about 18.7% (Coin Edition says 16%).

• November 6: XRP lost the $1.21 to $1.22 Fibonacci zone during a US tech-stock sell-off, per Coinpedia.

• November 8: XRP fell from $1.152 to $1.093 on Kraken within an hour, on volume about 13 times the prior weekly average, per CryptoTicker.

• November 9 to 10: XRP held about $1.09 to $1.10, down more than 20% in 30 days against about 10% for Bitcoin, per Finbold.

The Key XRP Price Levels

Upside references start at $1.15, then $1.21 to $1.25. The 200-day average is quoted at $1.27, $1.28 or $1.36 and the 50-day at $1.33 to $1.41, because the averages fall with price and the articles are dated differently. The August low also varies: $0.9847, $0.9884, $0.9927 (a close) and about $0.98.

What Past Corrections Show

Bitrue's public XRP page, which is undated, shows a one-year range of $1.00 to $2.43, a 54.85% one-year decline, a 30-day decline of 22.53% and a 90-day low of $1.00. Two patterns stand out:

• $1.00 has acted as a floor. The 90-day low of $1.00 and the August lows mean this area has held for about three months, which is why a break would matter.

• November is mixed. 24/7 Wall St. lists November returns of -10.1% (2021), -12% (2022), +1.6% (2023), +279.2% (2024) and -14.1% (2025). That is three negative months out of five, and a single huge month skews any average.

Bitrue AI's own XRP analysis, published October 14 and updated October 21, offers a useful check. It named $1.35 to $1.38 as support and $1.32 as the downside, both of which have since broken, and it flagged a long/short ratio of 2.32 as a liquidation risk, which the November 8 sell-off then illustrated. 

The analysis itself said AI does not predict the future with certainty. I could not access raw XRP/USDT history from Bitrue AI, so the data above comes from Bitrue's public pages. Bitcoin matters as context, with Finbold citing about $75,000 as a level that would help buyers defend $1, but I have not analyzed Bitcoin's own price history here.

What Is Driving the Drop?

Leverage

CryptoTicker reports $604.4 million of liquidations on November 8, with XRP at $25.8 million. The Crypto Basic's own model, which it calls "modeled estimates," showed about $123.4 million of long liquidations below spot against $22.1 million of shorts above on November 6. Finbold adds that XRP futures open interest fell 7.3% to $837.49 million, per CryptoQuant.

Weak demand

CryptoTicker says US spot XRP ETFs had no net inflows from November 3 to 6, and 24/7 Wall St. reports October ETF assets fell from $1.70 billion to $1.47 billion.

The Binance hack overhang 

It describes a $6.3 billion Binance hack on October 29, with TRM Labs attributing it to North Korea-linked hackers. Per 24/7 Wall St. and Nansen, about 233.46 million XRP was moved into one wallet. TradingNEWS reports that about 139 million of it has since moved to 79 addresses, but it names no on-chain source, so treat that as unverified. No source I read shows the hacker selling XRP.

Macro

Finbold points to the US midterm results and an equity sell-off, which it presents as speculation. CryptoTicker says no single reason can be documented.

Bearish, Base and Recovery Scenarios

These describe conditions and reasoning, not forecasts or targets. No source gives a reliable year-end 2026 level, and I am not adding one.

Bearish reasoning. XRP trades below its 50-day and 200-day averages, the daily structure is a downtrend, ETF flows are flat and leverage is still unwinding. A close under the August low would break the floor that has held for about three months, and the Crypto Basic marks few supports below it. Risk factors: stolen XRP reaching exchanges and a hot CPI print.

Base reasoning. Support clusters at $1.09 to $1.10, the four-hour RSI near 24 is deeply oversold, and a leverage reset can stabilize price. The Crypto Basic and Coinpedia both say no durable bottom is confirmed, so this is a pause, not a reversal. It needs ETF flows to stop falling.

Recovery reasoning. A reclaim of $1.15 would show buyers absorbing supply, and $1.21 to $1.25 is the former support that Finbold says XRP must stabilize in. Coinpedia treats a move above $1.35, with a sustained rally on shorter timeframes, as the recovery signal. A steadier Bitcoin and positive ETF inflows would help. Risk factor: bounces from oversold levels often fail at old support.

What the Analysts and AI Models Say

Virtual Bacon, via Crypto Daily, expects a move toward $1.10 and says XRP "may have bottomed" there, with a $1 target and $0.99 as the real test, with no time frame. 

On October 23, 24/7 Wall St. asked Claude, an AI model made by Anthropic, where selling stops. It put key support at $1.25 and gave a 20% chance of a drop below $1.00. XRP has since fallen through $1.25, which shows how quickly a model's levels can age. These were model outputs, not verified forecasts.

Using Bitrue AI Around Levels Like These

Source: Bitrue AI XRP/USDT short term grid

Bitrue AI is an explainable AI trading tool. It analyzes order books, volume, volatility and trend indicators such as RSI, then proposes entry and exit levels with take-profit and stop-loss settings, backtesting and a risk rating, in Stable, Growth and Aggressive styles. You can adjust take-profit, stop-loss and maximum drawdown before you start.

The question "how low can it go" is really a question about where you would be wrong, and a stop level or a smaller position size is a decision you can make in advance. Bitrue's October 19 review of Bitrue AI listed XRP among the supported coins, but coverage can change, so confirm it on the Bitrue AI strategy page or in the app.

Bitrue AI does not guarantee profits, and a stop-loss can fill below its trigger in a fast market. See our guides on how Bitrue AI works, how to use Bitrue AI and whether Bitrue AI guarantees profits. If you want to try it, you can register for a Bitrue account.

For more XRP context, see our Bitrue AI XRP price analysis, should I buy XRP now, the XRP price page and when XRP might see its next bull run.

Key Risks

• Leverage. Liquidation cascades can push price through levels quickly.

• Weak ETF demand. Flows have been flat or negative.

• Hack overhang. Stolen XRP could reach exchanges, though no sale is confirmed.

• Macro events. CPI and equity moves can change the picture within hours.

• Conflicting data. Levels, averages and percentages differ across sources and dates.

• Aging forecasts. Several quoted ranges were broken within days, including Bitrue AI's October levels.

Conclusion

XRP sits on a support cluster near $1.09 to $1.10, with $1.00 and the August low just beneath it and $0.87 to $0.90 as the next marked area. Whether that holds depends on leverage, ETF demand, the hack overhang and macro data, none of which can be forecast reliably. The practical use of these levels is to define in advance where your view is wrong and how much you can lose. This is not financial advice.

FAQ

How low can XRP go?

No one knows. Analysts watch $1.09 to $1.10 first, then $1.00 and the August low near $0.985, with $0.87 to $0.90 as the next marked area if $1.00 breaks.

What is XRP's key support level?

$1.09 to $1.10 is the nearest zone, followed by $1.00. Several sources call a close below $1.00 bearish.

Why did XRP crash in November 2026?

Sources cite a leveraged sell-off, weak ETF flows, a tech-stock decline and the Binance hack overhang. CryptoTicker says no single reason can be documented.

What are the bearish, base and recovery scenarios for XRP?

Bearish is a daily close below $1.00, base is a range between $1.00 and $1.15, and recovery is a reclaim of $1.15 and then $1.21 to $1.25. They are conditions, not predictions.

Does Bitrue AI guarantee profits?

No. Bitrue AI explains its suggestions and lets you set risk controls, but it does not guarantee profits.

Disclaimer: The views expressed belong exclusively to the author and do not reflect the views of this platform. This platform and its affiliates disclaim any responsibility for the accuracy or suitability of the information provided. It is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial or investment advice.