Bitcoin Price Prediction November 2025: Can BTC Reclaim Its Bullish Momentum?

As November 2025 unfolds, the Bitcoin price now sits at around $100,637 (on November 5th 2025), marking a cautious start after a turbulent October. 

The world’s largest cryptocurrency, which briefly touched an all-time high of $126,295 in early October, saw a steep correction to around $102,329 just days later. 

Source: Bitrue

Despite this volatility, many investors are looking ahead with optimism, drawing hope from Bitcoin’s historically strong performance in November.

Historical Pattern: Why November Has Been Bitcoin’s Lucky Month

Source: Cryptorank

Historically, November has been one of the best months for Bitcoin. Data from CryptoRank shows that BTC has averaged over 40% gains in past Novembers, with standout performances such as:

1. 2013: Bitcoin surged 453.9%

2. 2017: BTC jumped 59%

3. 2020: Bitcoin gained 42.9%

Such consistent historical green months have given rise to the so-called “Santa Rally”, a period where Bitcoin often rallies toward the year’s end as investor sentiment and market liquidity improve.

This year, as Bitcoin recovers from months of consolidation, the setup appears primed for another potential late-year push, provided that investor momentum returns.

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BTC Price Analysis: Institutional Buyers Pull Back

Source: Charles Edwards on X

However, not all signals are bullish. According to Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, institutional buying has fallen below the daily mined BTC for the first time in seven months. 

This means that the new supply entering circulation may not be absorbed quickly enough, a potential red flag for the market.

Since mid-October, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows of $1.67 billion, signaling reduced institutional interest. 

Edwards warned that this could mark “the start of high-timeframe structural strain” for Bitcoin, noting that 188 treasury companies hold large BTC positions but show little new buying activity.

This slowdown could pressure prices in the short term, particularly if macroeconomic conditions remain uncertain. Still, long-term Bitcoin fundamentals, capped supply, strong corporate holdings, and increasing adoption, remain intact.

Read Also: Best Time to Trade Crypto: Market Timing, Price & Volatility

BTC Price Prediction November 2025: Can Bitcoin Rebound?

Based on the latest projections, market analysts expect Bitcoin’s price in November 2025 to range from $104,433.85 (minimum) to $122,929.49 (maximum), with an average trading price around $113,681.67.

If Bitcoin manages to sustain buying momentum, whether from institutional players or retail investors, it could reclaim the $120K level and potentially retest its October highs.

Technical indicators show a bearish short-term outlook, with Bitcoin trading below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. 

However, analysts also note a hidden bullish divergence in the On-Balance Volume (OBV), suggesting that accumulation may be occurring behind the scenes.

Should Bitcoin close above $112K on the weekly chart, bearish scenarios may be invalidated, paving the way for a renewed rally. Conversely, if BTC drops below $100K, the next support lies around $92K, marking a crucial zone for long-term investors to watch.

Bitcoin Long-Term Outlook: Beyond November 2025

According to aggregate bitcoin price prediction models, the broader 2025 forecast remains cautiously optimistic. Analysts anticipate:

1. Minimum BTC Price (2025): $110,379

2. Average BTC Price (2025): $113,681

3. Maximum BTC Price (2025): $122,929

4. Potential ROI: ~12.2%

If the cyclical pattern continues, with Bitcoin historically outperforming in the final quarter, November 2025 could be a stepping stone toward another long-term bullish phase.

Read Also: Is Today a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin? Looking at Bitcoin Dominance

Conclusion: November Could Define Bitcoin’s 2025 Trajectory

As we enter November 2025, the BTC price prediction remains mixed. Historical data leans bullish, while current market sentiment and institutional flows suggest caution.

Whether Bitcoin surges past $120K or dips closer to $100K, the coming weeks will be pivotal in shaping the narrative for the rest of the year.

Investors are advised to monitor both macroeconomic developments and on-chain signals closely, as Bitcoin often moves swiftly once momentum returns.

FAQ

What is the BTC price prediction for November 2025?

Analysts expect Bitcoin to trade between $104,433 and $122,929, averaging around $113,681 during November 2025.

Why is November historically bullish for Bitcoin?

November has historically delivered strong gains for BTC, with average returns above 40%, often linked to end-of-year investor optimism and liquidity influx.

What factors could impact Bitcoin’s price this month?

Key drivers include institutional inflows, ETF activity, macroeconomic data, and on-chain signals such as mining output and transaction volume.

Is Bitcoin still a good investment in late 2025?

While short-term volatility persists, Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals, limited supply, corporate adoption, and increasing mainstream use, make it a compelling asset for patient investors.

Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high in November 2025?

If Bitcoin can sustain buying pressure and close above the $112K resistance, analysts believe it could retest or even surpass its previous $126K all-time high, marking another bullish breakout phase.