Solana Price Prediction: Long Term vs Short Term Movement
2025-06-23
Solana (SOL) has faced renewed selling pressure as Q2 2025 draws to a close. With its price slipping below the key $130 level, traders are left wondering, is this a warning of deeper losses ahead, or just a temporary dip before a strong recovery?
Amid growing geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran and a broader crypto market downturn, SOL has lost nearly 10% over the past week, leading to bearish sentiment among both short-term and long-term investors. Read on find out the Solana price prediction!
Technical Indicators of Solana Price
Several technical indicators paint a gloomy short-term picture for Solana, suggesting that further downward movement may be on the horizon.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.13
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has dropped into negative territory, sitting at -0.13. This means that selling pressure is currently outpacing buying interest, which often indicates that capital is flowing out of the asset. When CMF stays negative for an extended period, it usually supports a bearish continuation.
Elder-Ray Index: -20.74
The Elder-Ray Index, which measures the power of buyers (bulls) versus sellers (bears), shows a strong bearish grip.
A reading of -20.74 implies that sellers have the upper hand and are consistently pushing prices lower. This trend reinforces the idea that SOL is facing intense downward pressure from the market.
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Long Term vs Short Term Movement
While short-term indicators signal trouble, long-term potential still exists, if the market can stabilize.
Source: Coin Journal
Short-Term Outlook: Bearish
Current price: $128.6 (as of writing)
Support level: $120
Risk: If bearish pressure continues, SOL could retest $120, and a deeper slide could even bring it close to $100, a level last seen in April.
The 4-hour chart shows a negative MACD, and the RSI is around 34, suggesting that SOL is currently oversold but not yet at a reversal point.
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Long-Term Outlook: Cautiously Bullish
On the flip side, if market sentiment shifts positively, especially with Bitcoin and Ethereum regaining strength, SOL could begin to rebound. The first liquidity zone is around $142, while the next major resistance sits at $148.
However, a full rally back to $165 would likely require a strong bullish catalyst, such as positive geopolitical developments or a resurgence in crypto interest.
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Key Levels to Watch
Here’s a quick list of important support and resistance levels for SOL in the current market:
Support Levels:
$130 – Recent key psychological support (currently broken)
$123.49 – Next expected drop zone
$120 – Major support level
$100 – Critical floor from April
Resistance Levels:
$134 – Potential bounce-back target
$142.59 – First liquidity zone for recovery
$148 – Secondary resistance
$165 – Requires market-wide rally
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Conclusion: Solana Price Prediction
Solana’s current price action shows a clear divergence between its short-term decline and its long-term recovery potential. Bearish indicators like CMF, RSI, and MACD all suggest that sellers are still very much in control, and geopolitical risks continue to cloud investor sentiment.
However, the crypto market is known for rapid turnarounds. If global tensions ease and Bitcoin regains upward momentum, SOL could easily climb back above the $130 mark and potentially test the $140–$150 range again. For now, cautious optimism and tight risk management are key.
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FAQ
Why is Solana’s price falling right now?
Solana's price is under pressure due to increased geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran, which have affected the broader crypto market. Key indicators also show strong selling activity.
What is the current support level for SOL?
The key support levels are $123, $120, and potentially $100 if the market remains bearish.
Could Solana recover soon?
Yes, if the broader market stabilizes and Bitcoin shows signs of recovery, Solana could rebound toward $134, $142, or even $148.
Is Solana still a good long-term investment?
While the short-term trend is bearish, Solana’s long-term fundamentals remain strong. Its ecosystem and fast transaction capabilities still attract developers and users, making it a potential long-term play, if volatility is managed.
What should I watch for in the next few days?
Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price movement, SOL’s ability to hold above $120, and any major global news that could shift market sentiment quickly.
Disclaimer: The content of this article does not constitute financial or investment advice.
