Notcoin (NOT) Price Analysis August 2025: Why the Popular Token Is Down

Notcoin (NOT) has been one of the most watched meme coins of 2025. However, the popular Telegram-linked token has recently experienced a sharp decline, falling 7.7% in the past 24 hours and underperforming the broader crypto market (-1.35%). 

This article provides a comprehensive notcoin price analysis, exploring why is notcoin down and what the notcoin crypto trend indicates for the near future.

Market Sentiment Shift (Bearish Impact)

The global crypto market has cooled with the Fear & Greed Index dipping from 73 to 60, signaling reduced risk appetite. 

While the overall market dropped 1.35%, Notcoin's decline was more severe. As a high-beta asset, Notcoin reacts sharply to shifts in market sentiment.

Notcoin’s position as a speculative meme token makes it vulnerable to any weakening of investor confidence.

Read Also: Is Notcoin the Next Big Crypto? Price Outlook Inside

Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)

NOT has broken below its 7-day SMA ($0.0020579) and 30-day SMA ($0.0021247). The MACD histogram is in negative territory (-0.0000094), and the RSI sits at 43.96, close to oversold conditions without signaling a reversal.

Outlook: Traders are now watching the $0.00175 Fibonacci swing low as the next potential support. A sustained break below this level could lead to further declines.

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Liquidity Dynamics (Mixed Impact)

Notcoin’s 24-hour trading volume surged 9.72% to $27.9 million, representing 14.4% of its market cap. While high liquidity often reduces slippage, analysts caution that this could also indicate speculative bot activity.

Elevated turnover increases volatility, suggesting short-term traders may be dominating price action.

Read Also: How Much Rewards Has Been Earned Through NotCoin? Looking at Its Success

Speculative Potential vs. Fragility

Telegram Ecosystem Growth (Bullish)

With over 900 million Telegram users and 35 million players engaged with Notcoin’s tap-to-earn game, the potential for mass adoption remains strong. The TON ecosystem raised $28.5 million in July 2025 to expand Web3 tools and integrations within Telegram.

Scenario: If even 5% of Telegram’s users adopt NOT, the token could break above $0.0022 and target $0.0035.

Trading Volume Anomalies (Bearish)

Despite the high liquidity, some reports show patterns of bot trading and artificially inflated volume. The 24h volume of $14M equals 8.07% of its market cap, much higher than typical ranges of 1–3%.

Risk: Past price collapses, like June 2025’s 93% drop from the all-time high (ATH), show how fragile the price structure remains.

Meme Coin Sector Instability (Mixed)

Notcoin’s sector has been volatile: its peak of $0.02896 in 2024 fell to $0.00195 (-93%), while competitors like Hamster Kombat collapsed 89% in 2025. However, TON-based meme coins briefly added $443M in a June 2025 rally.

Any price surge would likely be short-term unless ecosystem fundamentals improve.

Notcoin Price Live Data

The live Notcoin price as of August 6, 2025, is $0.001962 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $27,969,851 USD. The market cap stands at $195,121,329 USD, with 99.43 billion NOT in circulation.

Read Also: The Ultimate Guideline to Buy NOT on Bitrue

High Risk of Speculative Trading

Notcoin’s performance remains tied to highly speculative trading behavior. Past incidents of sharp collapses (-93% from ATH) and warnings of manipulated trading volumes suggest extreme caution. 

Notcoin lacks intrinsic value beyond its social-fi ecosystem and user hype. Investors should only allocate what they can afford to lose and remain alert for any signs of exit scams or market manipulation.

Conclusion

Notcoin's August 2025 decline reflects broader crypto market cooling, technical weakness, and liquidity-driven volatility. 

While Telegram’s user base and TON’s development offer long-term hope, the token remains highly speculative. Key areas to watch include holding the $0.00175 support and breaking above the $0.0022 resistance.

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FAQ

What is Notcoin?

Notcoin (NOT) is a meme token built on the TON blockchain, widely popular in Telegram’s ecosystem as part of a tap-to-earn gaming experiment.

Why is Notcoin down?

Notcoin has dropped 7.7% in 24h due to market cooling, technical breakdowns, and speculative liquidity patterns.

Is Notcoin a good investment in 2025?

Notcoin offers high potential rewards but comes with extreme risks. It is highly volatile and driven by speculation rather than fundamentals.

Can Notcoin recover?

If Notcoin holds $0.00175 support and leverages Telegram’s ecosystem growth, it could retest $0.0022 or higher.

Is Notcoin a scam?

While Notcoin is officially tied to Telegram’s ecosystem, the token’s trading activity has raised concerns of bot-driven manipulation. Caution is advised.