Mao Bidao Bitcoin Position Exceeds 55%: 18-Month Strategy Explained

Mao Bidao's Bitcoin position reportedly exceeds 55%, and the financial blogger plans to continue buying BTC without selling for the next 18 months. His statement, reported on November 3, 2026, has attracted attention from investors interested in long-term Bitcoin accumulation.

However, the precise meaning of his 55% allocation and the details of his purchasing strategy remain unclear. We will examine what Mao Bidao actually disclosed, how his buy-only approach compares with other Bitcoin investment strategies, and what investors should understand about its potential benefits and risks.

Key Takeaways

• Mao Bidao reportedly increased his Bitcoin position beyond 55%, although the exact portfolio allocation and total BTC holdings remain unverified.
• His 18-month Bitcoin strategy involves continued accumulation without selling, but the frequency, amounts, and methods of future purchases were not disclosed.
• Long-term Bitcoin accumulation can reduce short-term trading decisions, but concentrated exposure creates significant volatility and portfolio management risks.

What Did Mao Bidao Reveal About His Bitcoin Holdings?

(image source: cryptotiicker.com)

On November 3, 2026, financial blogger Mao Bidao, known in Chinese as 猫笔刀 and associated with the WeChat account moomoocat, reportedly revealed that his Bitcoin position had exceeded 55%.

According to TechFlow's November 3 report, the disclosure came in a comment-section response to a reader asking about his recent Bitcoin purchases. Mao Bidao indicated that he was increasing his position along two dimensions and intended to continue buying without selling for the following 18 months.

The statement was also covered by PANews on November 4, drawing attention to the size of the reported allocation and its unusually explicit holding commitment. However, these reports summarize a personal statement rather than independently audited investment records.

Mao Bidao Bitcoin Strategy: What Is Confirmed?

The most important distinction is that the available information confirms what was reported about his statement, not the precise composition or independently verified value of his holdings.

What Does Mao Bidao's 55% Bitcoin Position Mean?

Mao Bidao's reported 55% Bitcoin (BTC) position suggests substantial cryptocurrency exposure, but the available disclosure does not establish exactly how that percentage was calculated. In portfolio management, a position percentage usually describes the proportion of capital allocated to an investment.

For example, Bitcoin could represent 55% of an investor's total investment portfolio or 55% of a portfolio containing only cryptocurrencies. Those two situations involve substantially different levels of overall financial exposure. The available reporting does not establish which interpretation applies to Mao Bidao.

Why a Bitcoin Allocation Above 55% Matters?

A relatively large Bitcoin allocation makes portfolio performance more sensitive to changes in BTC prices. If Bitcoin appreciates, concentrated exposure can contribute meaningfully to portfolio gains. However, the same concentration can generate substantial losses during market downturns.

Investors should also distinguish Mao Bidao's reported position from Bitcoin dominance. Bitcoin dominance measures BTC's percentage share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. It does not measure an individual's portfolio allocation.

Therefore, Mao Bidao's reported 55% position should not be interpreted as a statement about Bitcoin's overall market dominance.

How Does Mao Bidao's 18-Month Bitcoin Strategy Work?

Mao Bidao's stated strategy involves accumulating Bitcoin while avoiding sales for approximately 18 months. Based on the November 3, 2026 statement, that investment horizon would extend roughly through May 2028 if the plan remains unchanged.

The available reporting identifies a holding commitment but does not provide a complete trading framework.

1. Continue Accumulating Bitcoin

The first identifiable component is continued accumulation. Under a buy-only strategy, an investor purchases additional Bitcoin without routinely selling existing holdings. This approach can increase the number of BTC units held over time, provided purchases continue and no holdings are transferred or otherwise disposed of.

However, additional purchases do not guarantee a higher portfolio allocation percentage. The percentage can still fluctuate as Bitcoin and other assets change in market value.

2. Avoid Selling During the Planned Period

The second identifiable component is the commitment to avoid selling. A predetermined holding period can reduce the temptation to react to daily price movements or short-term market sentiment. However, a strict no-selling approach also limits flexibility when market conditions or personal financial circumstances change.

Importantly, the commitment represents an intention expressed in November 2026. It does not establish that Mao Bidao will necessarily maintain the strategy throughout the entire period.

What Does "Two-Dimensional Accumulation" Mean?

Mao Bidao reportedly described his buying activity as occurring along two dimensions. However, the published summaries do not explain what those dimensions represent. They could refer to different purchasing methods, investment accounts, or allocation considerations, but none of these interpretations has been verified.

It would therefore be misleading to present a specific two-part execution strategy as his confirmed method. For now, the reliable conclusion is that Mao Bidao intends to increase Bitcoin exposure while maintaining a buy-only position over an extended horizon.

Is Mao Bidao Using Dollar-Cost Averaging to Buy Bitcoin?

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Mao Bidao has not publicly confirmed a dollar-cost averaging schedule in the available reports. Dollar-cost averaging, or DCA, involves investing equal amounts at regular intervals regardless of market price.

For example, someone might invest a fixed amount in Bitcoin every month instead of making one large purchase. This approach automatically acquires more Bitcoin units when prices are relatively low and fewer when prices are relatively high.

However, dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee positive returns or protect against prolonged market declines.

How Buy-Only Strategies Differ From DCA?

A buy-only strategy describes the direction of transactions, while dollar-cost averaging describes how purchases are scheduled. An investor can pursue a buy-only approach through regular purchases, occasional lump-sum investments, or additional purchases following market corrections.

These methods involve different timing and execution decisions. Mao Bidao's reported statement does not establish whether his purchases are scheduled, discretionary, or based on predetermined price levels. Consequently, describing his approach as a confirmed DCA strategy would go beyond the available evidence.

Why Might Investors Choose an 18-Month Bitcoin Accumulation Strategy?

Long-term Bitcoin accumulation generally reflects a willingness to tolerate short-term price fluctuations while maintaining exposure to the cryptocurrency. Some investors favor Bitcoin because of its limited issuance framework and its role as a decentralized digital asset.

Bitcoin's protocol establishes a maximum supply approaching 21 million BTC, with new issuance declining through periodic halving events.

However, scarcity does not automatically translate into price appreciation. Market value ultimately depends on demand, liquidity, investor expectations, and broader economic conditions.

Does the 2028 Bitcoin Halving Matter?

An 18-month holding period beginning in November 2026 extends into the general timeframe of Bitcoin's next expected halving in 2028. The halving reduces the block subsidy awarded to Bitcoin miners and is determined by blockchain height rather than a fixed calendar date.

Some investors monitor halvings because they affect the rate at which new Bitcoin enters circulation. However, there is no verified evidence that Mao Bidao selected his 18-month strategy specifically because of the next halving.

The potential overlap should be viewed as market context, not an established explanation for his decision.

What Market Indicators Could Help Evaluate Bitcoin Accumulation?

Mao Bidao's reported investment decision does not independently establish whether the broader Bitcoin market is entering an accumulation phase. Investors seeking wider context can examine Bitcoin price trends, exchange reserves, institutional flows, and on-chain activity.

Bitcoin Exchange Reserves

Bitcoin exchange reserves represent the BTC held in blockchain addresses attributed to tracked cryptocurrency exchanges. Platforms such as CoinGlass provide exchange reserve data that investors can use to examine changes in exchange-held supply.

Declining reserves may indicate that Bitcoin is moving toward private wallets or other custody arrangements. However, exchange withdrawals do not necessarily represent new purchases or prove that investors intend to hold their assets long term.

Similarly, rising exchange reserves do not automatically indicate imminent selling. Exchange wallet restructuring, custody transfers, and changes in address identification can influence the data.

Bitcoin Price and Institutional Demand

Bitcoin market performance can also be affected by institutional investment activity, exchange-traded products, monetary policy, and global liquidity conditions. Investors can monitor market data through platforms such as CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap to assess price changes and trading activity.

Nevertheless, these indicators cannot independently confirm Mao Bidao's personal holdings or predict whether his reported strategy will be profitable.

What Are the Risks of Following Mao Bidao's Bitcoin Strategy?

A long-term Bitcoin accumulation approach can provide investment discipline, but it does not eliminate financial risk. Several considerations are particularly relevant when an investor holds a concentrated position.

• Portfolio concentration risk: Allocating a substantial proportion of investment capital to Bitcoin increases dependence on the cryptocurrency's performance.
• Market volatility: Bitcoin can experience significant price declines, and an 18-month holding period does not guarantee recovery.
• Liquidity risk: A commitment not to sell may become difficult to maintain when unexpected financial obligations arise.
• Opportunity cost: Capital allocated to Bitcoin may be unavailable for other investments or financial priorities.
• Custody risk: Investors must manage exposure to exchange failures, unauthorized wallet access, and the loss of private keys.

These risks vary according to the investor's overall financial position. A strategy adopted by someone with substantial reserves and a high tolerance for volatility may be unsuitable for an individual who depends on the invested funds for essential expenses.

Should Investors Copy Mao Bidao's Bitcoin Strategy?

Mao Bidao's reported Bitcoin strategy provides an example of long-term accumulation, but it should not be treated as a universal investment model. The available information does not disclose his complete asset allocation, average Bitcoin purchase price, income, liabilities, or ability to withstand losses.

Without those details, investors cannot meaningfully determine whether the same allocation would be appropriate for their circumstances. A more practical approach is to evaluate Bitcoin exposure in relation to personal financial objectives, diversification, available liquidity, and risk tolerance.

Investors should also distinguish between a commitment to hold an asset and a comprehensive investment strategy. A complete framework generally considers position sizing, capital availability, custody arrangements, and circumstances that could justify reassessing the original investment thesis.

Conclusion

Mao Bidao's reported Bitcoin position above 55% and his 18-month buy-only commitment reflect a preference for continued accumulation rather than frequent selling. However, the exact percentage basis, purchasing schedule, total BTC holdings, and meaning of his two-dimensional accumulation approach remain unclear.

The statement is therefore best understood as a reported investment intention, not a fully documented strategy or reliable indicator of Bitcoin's future price. Investors considering a similar approach should prioritize sustainable capital allocation and an understanding of cryptocurrency risks over simply copying another person's reported position.

Readers interested in exploring cryptocurrency markets can visit Bitrue Exchange, while the Bitrue Blog provides additional Bitcoin market analysis and educational guides.

FAQ

Who Is Mao Bidao in the Bitcoin Market?

Mao Bidao, known in Chinese as 猫笔刀, is a financial blogger associated with the WeChat public account moomoocat. He attracted attention after November 2026 reports described his Bitcoin position as exceeding 55% and his intention to continue buying without selling.

How Much Bitcoin Does Mao Bidao Own?

Mao Bidao reportedly holds a Bitcoin position exceeding 55%, but his exact BTC balance has not been confirmed. The available reports also do not clarify whether the percentage refers to his total investment portfolio, cryptocurrency holdings, or another allocation measure.

What Is Mao Bidao's 18-Month Bitcoin Plan?

Mao Bidao reportedly intends to continue purchasing Bitcoin without selling for approximately 18 months beginning in November 2026. However, he has not disclosed a verified purchase schedule, monthly investment amount, or specific allocation target for that period.

Is Mao Bidao's Bitcoin Strategy Based on Dollar-Cost Averaging?

There is not enough public information to confirm that Mao Bidao uses dollar-cost averaging. His reported buy-only commitment establishes an investment direction, but it does not specify whether he purchases Bitcoin at fixed intervals or according to market conditions.

Is Holding Bitcoin for 18 Months a Good Investment Strategy?

An 18-month holding period may suit investors who can tolerate substantial volatility and do not require immediate access to their invested capital. However, Bitcoin remains a high-risk asset, and holding it for a predetermined period does not guarantee gains or prevent significant losses.

Disclaimer: The views expressed belong exclusively to the author and do not reflect the views of this platform. This platform and its affiliates disclaim any responsibility for the accuracy or suitability of the information provided. It is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial or investment advice.