Arthur Hayes $10,000 ZEC Prediction: A Realistic Analysis

Zcash (ZEC) has become the latest crypto market sensation after surging more than 750% in just three months, reigniting debates about the future of privacy coins. The catalyst? A bold prediction from BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, who declared that ZEC could hit $10,000, calling it the next major crypto comeback story.

The prediction instantly went viral, sparking massive FOMO and driving ZEC’s market capitalization past $5.6 billion, its highest in history. But as ZEC prepares for its November 2025 halving, many are asking: can this momentum really sustain, or is this rally just short-term hype?

Key Takeaways

• Arthur Hayes’ $10,000 target triggered a 750% ZEC rally in three months.
• Zcash trades around $333–$357, up 20% in 24 hours with record volume.
• RSI at 79 signals overbought conditions and potential short-term correction.
• The ascending parallel channel suggests further upside toward $360–$400, if support at $281.35 holds.
• The November halving will cut block rewards from 3.125 to 1.5625 ZEC, introducing new scarcity.

The Catalyst: Arthur Hayes Sparks a ZEC Revival

In a single post, Arthur Hayes reignited ZEC’s forgotten narrative. Known for his macro contrarian takes, Hayes predicted that ZEC — one of the first privacy coins — could eventually reach $10,000, citing its strong cryptographic foundation and scarcity dynamics ahead of the halving.

“Vibe check: $ZEC to $10K,” Hayes tweeted, prompting a wave of speculation that quickly pushed ZEC to triple-digit gains.

Crypto analysts noted that Hayes’ post not only influenced traders but also revived institutional interest. Within weeks, Grayscale relaunched its Zcash Trust, and ZEC was listed on Hyperliquid, signaling a renewed wave of liquidity and exposure.

Read Also: Why did ZEC Start Going Up? Lists of Sentiments

ZEC Price Analysis: Technical Indicators Show Strength with Overheating Risk

ZEC’s price has been trading within an ascending parallel channel, indicating a steady uptrend. The recent breakout above $298.35 resistance confirms strong bullish momentum.

At press time, ZEC is consolidating around $333.77, having touched a high of $350, according to Binance data.

Support and Resistance Levels

• Immediate Resistance: $360 – $375
• Support Zone: $298.35 – $281.35 (critical mean threshold)
• Lower Support: $240 – $200 (psychological level)

If ZEC maintains its structure within this channel, price could extend toward $360–$400, a 6–10% increase from current levels.

However, if ZEC falls below the $281.35 mean threshold, the bullish pattern could weaken, exposing downside risks to $240 or even $200.

RSI: Nearing Overbought Territory

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently reads 79.06, suggesting that the token is overbought. Historically, such levels precede short-term corrections. A mild pullback toward the 60–65 RSI zone could allow for consolidation before the next leg upward.

SMA: Mid-Term Trend Confirmation

The Simple Moving Average (SMA) sits near $288.23, aligning with ZEC’s midline support channel. As long as the price remains above this level, the uptrend remains intact.

Volume and Momentum

Trading volume continues to spike, showing strong buying activity. However, analysts caution that momentum traders and FOMO entries could amplify volatility in the short term.

Zcash Halving: Fueling the Scarcity Narrative

Zcash will undergo its third halving event in November 2025, reducing miner rewards from 3.125 ZEC to 1.5625 ZEC per block. This mechanism mirrors Bitcoin’s monetary structure, reinforcing scarcity over time.

Historically, halvings have acted as catalysts for speculative rallies across proof-of-work coins. The ZEC halving narrative is now a key driver of bullish sentiment, particularly as investors revisit the idea of privacy as a core crypto principle.

Combined with ZEC’s capped supply of 21 million coins, this event aligns perfectly with Hayes’ long-term thesis that privacy-based, limited-supply assets could outperform in the next macro cycle.

Market Context: The Return of Privacy Coins

Privacy coins are enjoying renewed interest amid growing concerns about financial surveillance and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). Zcash, Monero (XMR), and newer zk-based tokens are seeing fresh demand as users look for secure, censorship-resistant alternatives.

Zcash, in particular, benefits from its zk-SNARK technology, which allows private transactions while maintaining blockchain integrity. The recent Zolana Bridge integration with Solana and NEAR also unlocked private liquidity in DeFi, boosting ZEC’s real-world use cases.

This perfect storm of fundamentals, narrative, and scarcity has put ZEC back into the spotlight after years of silence.

The Bullish Case: Why ZEC Could Continue Rising

Several factors are aligning in ZEC’s favor:

1. Technical Breakout: ZEC broke key resistance levels and remains above its SMA trendline.
2. Halving Catalyst: The November reward cut will enhance scarcity and miner profitability.
3. Interoperability: Zolana Bridge and NEAR Intents expand ZEC’s cross-chain liquidity.
4. Institutional Signals: Grayscale’s ZEC Trust relaunch and Hyperliquid listing improve visibility.
5. Privacy Narrative: Renewed global debates around user surveillance make ZEC relevant again.

If these conditions persist, a move toward $400–$500 in the short term and $1,000+ by mid-2026 becomes plausible.

The Bearish Case: Signs of Exhaustion

Despite optimism, traders must remain cautious. The RSI indicates overbought pressure, and a failure to maintain support near $281.35 could trigger sharp corrections.

Regulatory uncertainty also continues to shadow privacy-focused projects. While the U.S. remains neutral, European and Asian regulators have cracked down on privacy coins, leading to exchange delistings in previous cycles.

Moreover, ZEC still faces stiff competition from Monero, Aztec, and Aleo, which are advancing privacy at both the protocol and smart contract level.

In a worst-case scenario, if market sentiment cools and the broader altcoin market retraces, ZEC could revisit the $200 zone, erasing part of its current parabolic gains.

Final Thoughts

Arthur Hayes’ $10,000 ZEC prediction may sound far-fetched today, but it highlights a deeper narrative — the revival of privacy coins in an increasingly transparent financial world.

Zcash’s fundamentals, halving dynamics, and technical setup support a bullish medium-term outlook, though traders should anticipate volatility as the RSI cools off.

If ZEC maintains momentum above key levels, the road to $400–$500 seems achievable this cycle, setting the stage for higher long-term valuations. But the path to $10,000 will depend on sustained development, regulatory acceptance, and global demand for privacy in the coming years.

How to Buy ZCASH on Bitrue

Buying ZCASH (ZEC) on Bitrue is simple and available through both the website and mobile app. Follow the steps below to start trading ZEC/USDT.

Step 1: How to Buy ZCASH on Bitrue Website

• Go to the Bitrue website.
• Search for ZEC/USDT in the trading section.
• Click on the trading pair to open the interface.
• Enter your desired amount and execute the trade.

Step 2: How to Buy ZCASH on Bitrue Application

• Open the Bitrue app or download it via Google Play or App Store.
• Search for ZEC in the list of available assets.
• Select ZEC/USDT and confirm your order.

Make sure you are using the latest version of the Bitrue app for optimal performance.

Read Also: ZEC Price Surge: How High Can ZCash Go?

FAQs

What is Arthur Hayes’ ZEC price prediction?

Arthur Hayes predicts Zcash (ZEC) could reach $10,000, citing its privacy features, scarcity, and halving-driven supply reduction.

When is Zcash’s next halving?

Zcash’s next halving is scheduled for November 2025, cutting miner rewards from 3.125 ZEC to 1.5625 ZEC.

Why is ZEC price rising?

ZEC’s rally is driven by the upcoming halving, renewed institutional interest, cross-chain integrations, and a growing global conversation around digital privacy.

What is the biggest risk for ZEC?

The main risks are regulatory restrictions on privacy coins and potential overbought corrections after rapid gains.

Where can I buy ZEC?

You can trade ZEC/USDT directly on Bitrue Alpha, available via web or mobile platforms.