XRP Price Breakout Ahead? Can Ripple Retest $3 After Recent Dip?

2025-10-16
XRP Price Breakout Ahead? Can Ripple Retest $3 After Recent Dip?

Ripple’s native token, XRP, has been making headlines again not for a crash, but for a possible comeback. After weeks of turbulence, heavy whale sell-offs, and broader crypto market uncertainty, XRP seems to be stabilizing around crucial support levels. Analysts are now asking: Can Ripple retest the $3 mark after its recent correction?

With on-chain indicators flashing mixed signals and historical patterns aligning with previous breakout setups, the current market phase may be setting the stage for a major move. 

This article explores XRP’s technical landscape, whale activity, and long-term breakout potential amid growing investor attention.

sign up on Bitrue and get prize

XRP Price Overview – Recent Dip and Current Market Context

Over the past weeks, XRP slipped to the $2.40–$2.55 range, breaking below crucial supports near $2.52 and $2.85. The decline followed massive whale transactions, with billions of XRP tokens moved across wallets, an event that triggered retail panic and short-term bearish pressure.

Key technical indicators such as MACD, momentum, and Simple Moving Averages (SMA) currently reflect a bearish bias. Short-term signals suggest the possibility of further downside toward $2.33 or even $2.00 if buyers fail to defend lower supports.

Yet, beneath the surface, a different narrative is forming. Whale behavior appears to be shifting from distribution to accumulation, and volatility is compressing historically a precursor to significant directional breakouts.

Read Also: XRP Price Crash Alert: Whale Moves & 200-Day Rejection Signal Trouble Ahead!

Signs of a Potential XRP Breakout

Despite short-term weakness, several veteran analysts including Peter Brandt identify a massive multi-year triangle formation in XRP’s long-term chart. Historically, similar setups have led to explosive breakouts, such as the 2017 rally, when XRP surged past $3 in a matter of months.

Key resistance levels to watch:

  • $2.70–$2.80: Immediate resistance range

  • $3.00: Psychological and technical breakout point

  • $3.60: July 2025 peak and confirmation zone for sustained rally

Brandt’s analysis suggests that if XRP secures a weekly close above $3, it could mark the start of a new long-term bullish wave, potentially extending to $5 or higher.

“The structure looks clean and cyclical Ripple may be entering its next primary breakout phase,” Brandt noted.

Read Also: XRP Payments 2025: UAE Boosts XRPL for Trillions in Flows

Technical Indicators Supporting the Breakout Scenario

XRP Price Breakout Ahead? Can Ripple Retest $3 After Recent Dip?

1. Volume and Market Participation

A true breakout often begins with a volume surge typically 50% or more above recent averages. Traders are watching for heavy buy-side activity once XRP pushes through the $2.80 resistance range.

2. Moving Averages (50-day and 200-day SMA)

A potential Golden Cross where the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA is forming on the weekly chart. This pattern often precedes major uptrends and could confirm strength if sustained.

3. Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI remains near 48–50, hovering around neutral. A breakout above 50 would indicate momentum shifting toward buyers, supporting the bullish scenario.

4. MACD Crossovers

MACD remains slightly negative, but positive divergence on the histogram shows momentum gradually recovering a key early signal before full confirmation.

5. Bollinger Band Compression

Narrowing volatility bands on the daily chart hint at a potential volatility expansion, often followed by decisive price action.

In short:
For XRP to confirm its breakout, it must:

  • Reclaim $2.80–$3.00

  • Close weekly above $3.00

  • Sustain volume above average levels

  • Show RSI >50 and positive MACD crossover

If these align, the breakout probability significantly strengthens.

Read Also: XRP UAE Approval: Crypto Payments Live

Whale Activity – The Hidden Market Force Behind XRP Volatility

Whales have become the silent architects behind XRP’s price action. In recent weeks:

  • Over 440 million XRP moved across major wallets, triggering a 5% drop.

  • Accumulation wallets reportedly added more than 1 billion XRP during the dip, suggesting strategic positioning.

  • Exchange inflows have declined, meaning fewer tokens are moving toward potential sell-off zones.

This behavior reflects a cyclical pattern: whales selling high, buying low, and driving sentiment reversals. Historically, such accumulation has preceded bullish reversals, as seen during XRP’s 2020 and 2021 runs.

If accumulation continues and supply tightens, a liquidity-driven rally back toward $3 becomes increasingly probable.

XRP vs Bitcoin – Diverging Momentum and Market Attention

Interestingly, XRP is decoupling from Bitcoin’s dominance, a pattern not seen since early 2021. While BTC consolidates near all-time highs, XRP’s volatility and whale-driven momentum suggest an independent trajectory.

This divergence indicates potential capital rotation, as investors look to diversify away from saturated BTC holdings toward undervalued altcoins like XRP. Should Bitcoin’s momentum slow, XRP could capitalize on capital inflows and renewed speculative attention much like during the last alt season.

Read Also: XRP ETF Approval Timeline 2025

XRP Price Prediction – Can Ripple Retest $3 and Beyond?

Period

Projected Range (USD)

Key Levels / Notes

Short-Term (Oct–Dec 2025)

$2.40 – $3.20

Relief rally possible if whales reduce selling pressure

Mid-Term (Q1 2026)

$3.00 – $4.50

Confirmed breakout and ETF optimism could drive momentum

Long-Term (2026–2027)

$4.50 – $5.80+

Institutional entry, regulatory clarity, and stablecoin adoption

Bearish Scenario

$2.00 – $2.30

Breakdown below support; whales resume selling

Bullish Scenario

$3.60 – $5.00+

Weekly close above $3.60 confirms extended bullish wave

If Ripple maintains regulatory stability and ecosystem growth especially through RLUSD stablecoin integration and Bahrain-based partnerships a retest of $3 appears feasible before the end of 2025.

Conclusion

XRP’s current setup is a fascinating blend of fear and opportunity. The short-term chart remains volatile, but the long-term structure mirrors past breakout cycles. If XRP clears $3 with strong volume, history could repeat driving a new wave of bullish sentiment across altcoins.

However, traders should monitor whale flows and macro events closely, as both remain crucial catalysts.

Trade XRP on Bitrue to stay ahead of breakout opportunities and monitor live XRP/USDT market action. Bitrue’s real-time tools and analytics provide the edge needed for timing entries during volatile market phases.

FAQ

What is the current price of XRP?

As of mid-October 2025, XRP trades between $2.40 and $2.55, reflecting consolidation after a sharp correction.

Can XRP really retest $3 soon?

Yes. If XRP breaks above $2.80 with rising volume and positive RSI, analysts expect a retest of $3 within Q4 2025.

What technical indicators support a potential breakout?

Volume surges, RSI crossing 50, a Golden Cross on SMAs, and MACD bullish divergence collectively support the breakout case.

How do whales influence XRP’s price?

Whales move large volumes of XRP, creating short-term dips during sell-offs and rallies during accumulation phases. Their activity often signals trend reversals.

Where can I trade XRP safely?

You can trade XRP/USDT pairs securely on Bitrue, which offers liquidity, analytics, and real-time price tracking for Ripple traders.

Bitrue Official Website:

Website: https://www.bitrue.com/

Sign Up: https://www.bitrue.com/user/register

Disclaimer: The views expressed belong exclusively to the author and do not reflect the views of this platform. This platform and its affiliates disclaim any responsibility for the accuracy or suitability of the information provided. It is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial or investment advice.

Disclaimer: The content of this article does not constitute financial or investment advice.

Register now to claim a 1012 USDT newcomer's gift package

Join Bitrue for exclusive rewards

Register Now
register

Recommended

XRP Price Set for Major October Move: $4 Target in Sight?
XRP Price Set for Major October Move: $4 Target in Sight?

XRP shows signs of a major trend shift in October 2025. Learn key levels, whale accumulation, and Flare FXRP integration for potential price growth.

2025-09-25Read