"Unlock Effect": Analyzing Price Risks for JUP, SUI, and SIGN This Week

Token unlock events are one of the most underestimated sources of volatility in crypto markets. When large volumes of previously locked tokens enter circulation, prices often react quickly due to sudden increases in supply and shifting investor sentiment.

This week, the so called unlock effect is taking center stage as major projects including JUP, SUI, SIGN, and KMNO release millions of tokens into the market. With unlock values ranging from several hundred thousand dollars to more than sixty million dollars, traders and long term holders alike are watching closely for potential price swings.

This article analyzes the unlock schedules, examines short term price risks, and explains what investors should consider when navigating token releases in late January and early February 2026.

Key Takeaways

• Large token unlocks can increase selling pressure and short term volatility across multiple altcoins.

• SIGN and SUI face the highest relative risk due to the size of their unlocks compared to circulating supply.

• Understanding token release schedules helps investors manage timing, risk, and entry strategies more effectively.

For more in-depth crypto market updates and predictions, check out the latest posts on the Bitrue blog — or explore trading directly on Bitrue’s platform.

Understanding the Unlock Effect in Crypto

Token unlocks occur when vesting schedules allow early investors, team members, or ecosystem participants to receive tokens that were previously locked. While unlocks improve token distribution and liquidity over time, they often introduce temporary market pressure.

The unlock effect typically appears in three phases. Anticipation builds before the release date, leading to cautious trading. On the unlock day, increased supply may push prices lower if holders decide to sell. After the event, markets usually stabilize once the new supply is absorbed.

This week’s unlock calendar is especially crowded, increasing the chance of correlated volatility across mid cap and large cap tokens.

READ ALSO: Crypto Market Manipulation Using AI: How Algorithms Shape Volatility and Liquidity

This Week’s Major Token Unlock Schedule

According to market data released on January 26, several major unlocks are scheduled between January 26 and February 1.

• MIRA will unlock tokens worth approximately 822,000 dollars on January 26, representing 2.98 percent of its circulating supply.

• SAHARA will unlock tokens worth approximately 5.48 million dollars on January 26, representing 8.81 percent of its circulating supply.

• BLAST will unlock tokens worth approximately 779,000 dollars on January 26, representing 2.54 percent of its circulating supply.

• SIGN will unlock tokens worth approximately 11.61 million dollars on January 28, representing 17.68 percent of its circulating supply.

• JUP will unlock tokens worth approximately 9.94 million dollars on January 28, representing 1.70 percent of its circulating supply.

• TREE will unlock tokens worth approximately 8.34 million dollars on January 29, representing 39.41 percent of its circulating supply.

• KMNO will unlock 229 million tokens on January 30, worth approximately 10.4 million dollars, representing 3.68 percent of its circulating supply.

• SUI will unlock 43.53 million tokens on February 1, worth approximately 64.4 million dollars, representing 1.15 percent of its circulating supply.

• EIGEN will unlock 36.82 million tokens on February 1, worth approximately 12.3 million dollars, representing 8.88 percent of its circulating supply.

Among these, the market is paying special attention to JUP, SUI, SIGN, and KMNO due to their liquidity levels and active trading volumes.

Focus on JUP Token Unlock Risk

JUP will unlock nearly ten million dollars worth of tokens on January 28, adding about 1.70 percent to its circulating supply. While this percentage appears modest, even small increases can affect short term price action when combined with broader market sentiment.

Historically, moderate unlock ratios often lead to brief pullbacks rather than prolonged downtrends. If demand remains strong, JUP may absorb the supply without significant damage. However, traders should expect increased volatility around the release window.

READ ALSO: What is Happening to Jupiter?

SIGN Token Release Schedule and Price Pressure

The SIGN Token Release Schedule shows one of the most aggressive unlocks this week. Nearly 17.68 percent of circulating supply is scheduled to be released on January 28, worth more than eleven million dollars.

This scale of unlock poses a substantial risk. Large holders receiving tokens may take profits quickly, creating short term selling waves. For SIGN, price stability will depend on whether buyers step in fast enough to absorb the new supply.

Among all tokens unlocking this week, SIGN carries one of the highest downside risks from a purely supply based perspective.

SUI Token Unlock February 2026 Outlook

The SUI Token Unlock February 2026 event stands out as the largest in dollar value. More than forty three million tokens worth approximately sixty four million dollars will enter circulation on February 1.

Although this represents only 1.15 percent of circulating supply, the absolute size is large enough to influence order books and derivatives positioning. SUI has strong ecosystem activity and liquidity, which may help cushion the impact, but short term price dips are still possible as traders rebalance positions.

Long term investors often monitor whether unlocked tokens are transferred to exchanges, as this provides early signals of potential selling behavior.

KMNO Tokenomics 2026 and Unlock Impact

KMNO Tokenomics 2026 reveals a structured release plan, with 229 million tokens unlocking on January 30. This batch equals about 3.68 percent of circulating supply and is valued at approximately ten million dollars.

While not as extreme as SIGN, KMNO’s unlock is large enough to create localized volatility. Investors should track on chain flows to determine whether newly unlocked tokens move toward exchanges or remain in long term custody.

How Investors Can Manage Unlock Risk

Managing unlock risk requires preparation rather than reaction. Traders often reduce leverage before unlock dates, tighten stop losses, or temporarily avoid opening large positions.

Long term holders may choose to hold through unlock events if fundamentals remain strong, while short term traders often look for post unlock dips as potential entry points.

The key is understanding timing. Most price reactions occur within twenty four to seventy two hours of the unlock, making calendar awareness an essential trading tool.

Conclusion

This week’s unlock calendar highlights how powerful the unlock effect can be across multiple tokens. With major releases scheduled for JUP, SUI, SIGN, and KMNO, short term volatility is almost inevitable.

SIGN faces the highest relative supply shock, while SUI carries the largest absolute unlock value. JUP and KMNO sit in the middle, with moderate risk depending on market sentiment and liquidity conditions.

For investors, tracking unlock schedules and monitoring on chain movements can provide a crucial edge. In fast moving markets, understanding token supply dynamics is just as important as analyzing charts and news.

READ ALSO: What is Sign ($SIGN)? Introduction and Performance Review

FAQ

What is a token unlock in crypto

A token unlock releases previously locked tokens into circulation based on a vesting schedule, increasing available supply.

Why do token unlocks affect prices

Unlocks increase supply and may trigger selling pressure if recipients decide to take profits.

Which token has the highest unlock risk this week

SIGN has one of the highest risks due to unlocking nearly eighteen percent of its circulating supply.

Does every token unlock cause a price drop

No, strong demand and high liquidity can absorb new supply without major price declines.

How can investors track upcoming unlocks

Investors can monitor official token schedules, vesting dashboards, and crypto analytics platforms that publish unlock calendars.

Disclaimer: The views expressed belong exclusively to the author and do not reflect the views of this platform. This platform and its affiliates disclaim any responsibility for the accuracy or suitability of the information provided. It is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial or investment advice.