Will POL Recover and Go Up After Polygon's HardFork?
2026-03-03
Polygon’s latest Lisovo hardfork has sparked renewed attention around POL (ex-MATIC). With upgrades aimed at accelerating transactions, improving wallet support, and subsidizing $1 million in gas fees, investors are asking: will POL go up after hardfork?
Despite recent underperformance, trading volume has surged more than 70% in 24 hours, signaling rising market activity.
This article provides a comprehensive POL price analysis today, evaluates short-term volatility, and examines POL long term price potential following the network update.
Key Takeaways
- The Lisovo hardfork improves throughput and user experience but does not directly change tokenomics.
- Volume surge suggests speculative positioning around the upgrade.
- Long-term POL recovery depends on ecosystem growth, not just technical upgrades.
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What Is the Lisovo Hardfork?
The Lisovo hardfork is a non-trivial protocol upgrade scheduled before block 83,756,500 on Polygon mainnet.
Key improvements include:
- Accelerated agent-to-agent transactions
- $1M gas fee subsidy (PIP-82)
- Improved smart contract compatibility (CLZ enhancement)
- Better passkey wallet support
- Flexible fee tuning
- More reliable transaction delivery
The update primarily enhances performance and user experience. It also aligns Polygon with emerging AI agent narratives by optimizing automated transaction flows.
However, it does not introduce a direct supply reduction or staking overhaul. This distinction matters when evaluating POL after Polygon hardfork.
Read Also: Polygon Co-Founder Considers Bringing Back the MATIC Ticker for POL
POL Price Analysis Today
Current key metrics:
- 24h Trading Volume: ~$107M (+70%)
- Market Cap: ~$1.06B
- All-Time High: $1.29
- All-Time Low: $0.08694
- 7-Day Performance: -4.7%
POL is currently trading approximately 92% below its all-time high. While that suggests deep discount territory, it also reflects broader market cycles and competitive pressure among smart contract platforms.
The recent spike in volume suggests pre- and post-upgrade speculation. Historically, large-cap chains often experience a “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern.
Will POL Go Up After Hardfork?
To answer will POL go up after hardfork, we must separate short-term reaction from structural impact.
Short-Term Outlook
Hardforks typically create:
- Event-driven volatility
- Increased social media attention
- Temporary liquidity inflows
The $1M gas subsidy may boost network activity in the near term, attracting developers and traders. That could support a short-term POL price recovery.
However, without token burn or staking reward adjustments, upward momentum may be limited to speculative demand.
Read Also: How to Stake Polygon (POL) and Earn High APY
POL Technical Analysis After Network Update
From a technical perspective, traders are watching:
1. Volume Confirmation
The 70% surge in trading volume suggests accumulation or speculative positioning. Sustained high volume could confirm bullish continuation.
2. Key Resistance Zones
POL must reclaim major resistance levels formed during its downtrend. A break above those zones could trigger momentum-driven buying.
3. Market Correlation
As a large-cap smart contract token, POL remains highly correlated with Ethereum and overall crypto market sentiment.
A network update alone rarely overrides macro trends.
POL Bullish Outlook Post Upgrade
There are valid arguments supporting a POL bullish outlook post upgrade:
- Improved transaction reliability attracts institutional builders.
- Agent-to-agent transaction optimization taps into AI-driven narratives.
- Enhanced wallet compatibility lowers onboarding friction.
Polygon’s long-term strategy focuses on scaling infrastructure and interoperability. If adoption increases meaningfully, token demand may follow.
Read Also: Polygon Dev Exposes Trump-Linked WLFI in Explosive Crypto Scam Allegation
Risks to POL Price Recovery
Despite optimism, investors must consider:
- No direct tokenomics changes
- Strong competition from other Layer-2 solutions
- Underperformance versus smart contract platform peers
- Potential “sell the news” reaction
If the broader market weakens, even strong upgrades may not prevent short-term downside pressure.
POL Long Term Price Potential
Evaluating POL long term price potential requires looking beyond this single hardfork.
Long-term drivers include:
- Ecosystem growth (dApps, AI agents, enterprise use)
- Ethereum Layer-2 adoption trends
- Developer incentives and capital inflows
- Strategic partnerships
If Polygon maintains its relevance as a leading scaling solution, POL could gradually recover from current depressed levels.
A return to previous cycle highs would require sustained adoption and renewed bullish macro conditions. A full recovery to $1+ would imply significant capital re-entry into smart contract platforms.
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Can POL Recover?
The Lisovo hardfork improves infrastructure but does not fundamentally alter token economics. Therefore:
- Short-term volatility is likely.
- Moderate POL price recovery is possible if activity increases.
- Sustained upside depends on ecosystem traction and broader market strength.
Investors should monitor network activity metrics and volume trends in the weeks following the upgrade.
Hardforks often serve as catalysts — but long-term price appreciation requires real usage growth.
FAQ
Will POL go up after hardfork?
It may experience short-term volatility and speculative upside, but long-term growth depends on ecosystem adoption.
Does the Lisovo hardfork change POL tokenomics?
No. The upgrade improves performance and user experience but does not directly alter supply mechanics.
Is POL undervalued at current levels?
Trading far below its all-time high may suggest value opportunity, but market conditions and competition must be considered.
What is POL’s biggest growth driver?
Ecosystem expansion, developer adoption, and Layer-2 demand are key long-term catalysts.
Is this a buy-the-rumor, sell-the-news event?
Possibly. Many hardfork events see pre-upgrade accumulation followed by post-event volatility.
Disclaimer: The views expressed belong exclusively to the author and do not reflect the views of this platform. This platform and its affiliates disclaim any responsibility for the accuracy or suitability of the information provided. It is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial or investment advice.
Disclaimer: The content of this article does not constitute financial or investment advice.





