HBAR Price Prediction: Will Hedera Crash 20% Before Exploding to $0.54?

Hedera (HBAR) has long maintained a reputation as one of the more “stable” altcoins in the crypto market.

With enterprise-grade partnerships, its governance council, and a steady flow of ecosystem development, many investors have viewed HBAR as a safer bet compared to more speculative tokens.

But as September 2025 begins, traders are once again faced with the critical question: will Hedera hold firm, or is a deeper correction on the horizon?

In this HBAR price prediction, we explore recent trends, technical patterns, and analyst insights to understand whether Hedera is gearing up for another leg down, or preparing for its next rally.

Hedera HBAR Analysis: Market Signals Turning Bearish

Source: Bitrue Platform

On August 29, HBAR slipped by 0.13% to trade at $0.21912, following declines in both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). This hedera price drop echoed the overall weakness in altcoins, putting HBAR in a vulnerable position.

Trading volume surged by more than 45%, but derivatives data revealed a concerning imbalance: nearly $3 million in shorts were opened against HBAR, compared to just $832,000 in longs. This signals a lack of confidence in the token’s ability to recover near-term.

Technical Patterns: Descending Triangle Adds Pressure

HBAR has been forming a descending triangle pattern on the daily chart, a formation that often precedes breakdowns. The token has tested the $0.226 support zone multiple times, but repeated tests weaken the floor.

If HBAR closes a daily candle below $0.223, analysts warn it could trigger a sharp 20% drop, pushing the price toward the $0.18 support range.

However, not all signals are bearish. The Supertrend Indicator remains bullish, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 43.8 shows that HBAR is still in neutral territory, leaving room for either side to take control.

Read Also: Hedera (HBAR) Set for Explosive Breakout, Could It Outshine Bitcoin in 2025?

Hedera Price Forecast: Short-Term Pain, Medium-Term Hope

Recent analyst projections show a split between short-term caution and medium-term optimism:

1. Short-Term (1 week): $0.20–$0.23 (potential sideways action or dip)

2. Medium-Term (1 month): $0.28–$0.54 (recovery potential if bullish triggers occur)

3. HBAR 2025 Target: Optimistic forecasts see $0.54–$0.84 by year-end, provided broader market sentiment improves.

These figures suggest that while a correction is possible, the HBAR next rally could be powerful if Bitcoin and Ethereum regain momentum and if accumulation continues.

On-Chain Insights: Accumulation Offers Hope

One of the more bullish developments has been exchange outflows. More than $3.18 million worth of HBAR recently left centralized exchanges, a move often linked to accumulation.

At the same time, the number of accounts holding 100 million HBAR or more has grown by 4% since early August. This indicates that whales and institutional players are quietly stacking tokens, even as short-term traders lean bearish.

Read Also: How to Buy Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR)

Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios

1. Bullish Case

- Break above $0.26 (upper Bollinger Band) could ignite a rally toward $0.28–$0.30.

- If momentum builds, medium-term targets extend toward $0.54–$0.84, aligning with optimistic analyst forecasts.

2. Bearish Case

- A close below $0.21 would confirm the descending triangle breakdown.

- This could send HBAR toward $0.18, or even retest the yearly low of $0.13 in extreme cases.

Should You Buy HBAR Now?

Source: TradingView

For aggressive traders, the $0.22 level offers an attractive entry point with tight risk management, provided stop-losses are placed below $0.21.

Conservative investors may prefer to wait for confirmation: either a bullish break above $0.26 or a deeper dip closer to $0.20 for better long-term entries.

Read Also: HBAR Price Surge Today: Hedera’s NASA Partnership, Network Upgrades, and 2025 Outlook

Conclusion

Hedera is currently at a critical crossroads. Bears are betting on a breakdown with heavy shorts, but bullish signals from exchange outflows and whale accumulation provide a lifeline.

If the market holds above $0.21 and Bitcoin stabilizes, HBAR could mount a comeback rally. But a confirmed breakdown below $0.223 could spell a deeper correction toward $0.18.

For now, traders should watch the $0.21–$0.26 zone, as it will likely dictate HBAR’s trajectory for the remainder of 2025.

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FAQ

What is the short-term HBAR price prediction?

HBAR is expected to trade between $0.20–$0.23 in the near term, with risks of a breakdown if $0.21 fails.

What is the HBAR 2025 target?

Analyst forecasts suggest a potential range of $0.54–$0.84 by year-end if bullish momentum returns.

Is Hedera crypto still a good investment?

Hedera’s fundamentals remain strong, with whale accumulation and enterprise partnerships supporting its long-term case. However, short-term volatility poses risks.

What would trigger the next HBAR rally?

A break above $0.26 resistance, combined with Bitcoin reclaiming $60K, could drive a strong bullish rally.

Could Hedera price drop further in 2025?

Yes, a breakdown below $0.21 support could send HBAR toward $0.18 or lower before a potential recovery.