Bitcoin Warning: Is Red September Crash Ahead or Will BTC Explode Past $100K?

Bitcoin’s performance has traders on edge this September. After climbing above $125,000 earlier this year, BTC has slipped and now sits just above the critical $100,000 level.

Analysts warn that losing this support could spell the end of the current bull market, while others believe a rebound toward fresh all-time highs is still on the table. The next few weeks may determine whether Bitcoin’s long-term rally continues or stalls.

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Key Takeaways

1. Bitcoin must defend $100,000 to keep its bull market alive.

2. Technical signals show both bearish exhaustion and potential bullish divergence.

3. Traders see $102K-$104K as a key accumulation zone before any rebound.

The $100,000 Support Test

Bitcoin’s market mood shifted quickly in late August when the price fell more than 15% from highs above $125,000.

Traders now see $98,000 to $100,000 as the decisive range for Bitcoin’s next move. Losing this level could confirm the end of the bull run, as many analysts suggest.

Popular trader Roman noted that Bitcoin has already lost the $112,000 support, leaving the $100,000 mark as the final line of defense.

According to his analysis, if BTC breaks below this threshold, the market may transition from bullish to bearish, potentially triggering a prolonged correction.

At the same time, market indicators point to mixed signals. On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows bearish divergence, meaning the rally has been losing strength despite higher price moves.

This often precedes significant pullbacks. However, shorter timeframes hint at a bullish divergence forming, where RSI momentum begins turning positive before price action follows.

The situation reflects a classic tug-of-war between bears and bulls. The next major move depends largely on whether traders see $100,000 as a floor worth defending or as the start of further decline.

Read Also: Was $124K Bitcoin’s Peak or Just the Beginning of the Next Bull Run?

Signs of Exhaustion or Setup for a Rebound?

Market observers highlight both cautionary signs and reasons for optimism. On one hand, trading volume has declined at recent highs, signaling reduced buying pressure.

Combined with bearish RSI divergences, this creates the risk of continued downward pressure if confidence slips.

On the other hand, some analysts point to structural setups that favor a rebound. For example, trader ZYN emphasized that a weekly bullish RSI divergence is developing.

Historically, this has preceded strong upward recoveries. If this pattern plays out, Bitcoin could retest or even surpass its previous peak within the next one to two months.

Other traders, such as Michaël van de Poppe, see the $102K-$104K area as an attractive entry point rather than a red flag. For them, this dip is an opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin before the next rally.

The broader context also matters. Despite August’s decline, Bitcoin still outperformed the same month in previous years, suggesting resilience compared to past cycles.

If BTC maintains stability near $100,000, it could set the stage for renewed growth rather than collapse.

In short, the market is at a crossroads. The bearish view emphasizes fading momentum and the risk of losing $100K, while the bullish case relies on long-term structure and historical rebound signals.

Read Also: Bitcoin Crashes to 7-Week Low as Whales Dump $2.5B, Ethereum Surges Ahead!

What Traders Should Watch in September

September has historically been a volatile month for Bitcoin, and 2025 looks no different. Key technical levels and market signals will likely determine the outcome.

Critical Levels

• $100K support: Losing this zone may confirm a broader downtrend.

• $102K-$104K: Seen as a potential accumulation zone by bullish traders.

• Above $112K: Regaining this would restore market confidence.

Indicators to Monitor

• RSI divergences: A bullish divergence on weekly timeframes could signal an uptrend.

• Volume trends: Rising volume with upward moves suggests stronger momentum.

• Market sentiment: Shifts in confidence often precede sharp price changes.

For investors, the advice remains mixed. Short-term traders may see this as a dangerous period to enter, while long-term holders may view it as a chance to accumulate at relatively lower levels.

Either way, September will likely be remembered as a decisive month in Bitcoin’s 2025 journey.

Read Also: Bitcoin Crashes $4K in Minutes! Whale Panic Sparks Massive Crypto Sell-Off

Conclusion

Bitcoin stands at a critical point as September unfolds. The $100,000 support is more than just a number, it represents the boundary between sustaining the bull market or signaling its end.

While technical indicators show warning signs of exhaustion, bullish divergences and structural resilience keep hopes alive for a rebound.

For traders and investors, caution and strategy are essential. Short-term volatility will likely dominate, but the long-term outlook still depends on whether Bitcoin can hold above six figures.

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FAQ

Why is $100,000 so important for Bitcoin right now?

It is considered a psychological and technical support level. Losing it could confirm a bearish reversal.

What does RSI divergence mean for Bitcoin?

RSI divergence occurs when price and momentum indicators move in opposite directions, often signaling a potential trend change.

Has Bitcoin historically struggled in September?

Yes, September has often been a weak month for Bitcoin, though not always. Market conditions vary year by year.

Could Bitcoin still reach new all-time highs in 2025?

Yes, if support holds, some analysts expect Bitcoin to rebound and possibly exceed $130K within months.

Is this a good time to buy Bitcoin?

It depends on your risk tolerance. Some traders see dips near $102K-$104K as buying opportunities, while others prefer to wait for stability above $112K.

Disclaimer: The views expressed belong exclusively to the author and do not reflect the views of this platform. This platform and its affiliates disclaim any responsibility for the accuracy or suitability of the information provided. It is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial or investment advice.