DERHL Stock Forecast 2025: Is It a Good Investment?

Derluks Yatirim Holding Anonim Sirketi (BIST: DERHL) has emerged as one of Turkey's standout growth stocks in recent years. As of July 24, 2025, DERHL closed at 27.30 TRY, reflecting a -0.58% daily drop. 

While the short-term chart shows some consolidation, the longer-term performance tells a very different story.

Over the past 12 months, DERHL has surged 138.01%, and its five-year return stands at an astonishing 1,933.33%, vastly outperforming the BIST 100 (XU100) index. T

hese numbers naturally lead to one question: is DERHL still a good investment in 2025?

This article examines DERHL’s current valuation, past performance, technical indicators, and whether investors should consider holding or exiting their position.

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Key Takeaways

• DERHL has significantly outperformed the XU100 index across all timeframes.

• The stock has a high P/E ratio of 113.75, suggesting growth expectations are priced in.

• DERHL's volatility has decreased in 2025, as shown by its low 5-year beta of 0.03.

• Investors are watching closely for future earnings guidance, especially with no new dividend data since 2020.

• Despite the recent dip, the long-term trend remains bullish.

DERHL Stock Price Performance Overview

Short-Term Performance (1-Day)

• Closing Price: 27.30 TRY

• Change: -0.16 TRY (-0.58%)

• Intraday High: 28.26 TRY

• Intraday Low: 27.12 TRY

While DERHL saw a sharp rise during the morning session, hitting an intraday high of 28.26 TRY, it corrected downward later in the day. This type of price action suggests profit-taking pressure at higher levels, likely due to its extended run-up in previous months.

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Long-Term Performance

• YTD Return (2025): 57.80%

• 1-Year Return: 138.01%

• 3-Year Return: 1,380.55%

• 5-Year Return: 1,933.33%

Compared to the BIST 100 (XU100) index, DERHL has massively outperformed the market average. 

This shows strong investor interest and continued bullish sentiment, though such high returns may also signal overheating or the need for consolidation.

Valuation and Fundamentals

• Market Cap: 5.386B TRY

• P/E Ratio (TTM): 113.75

• EPS (TTM): 0.24

• Dividend Yield: 0% (No payout since June 2020)

• Beta (5Y Monthly): 0.03 (Low volatility)

The P/E ratio of 113.75 is exceptionally high, indicating that DERHL is priced for aggressive future growth. However, the lack of updated dividend distributions and no current forward guidance for earnings raises questions about sustainability.

Despite these red flags, DERHL’s low beta suggests that the stock is not as sensitive to market swings — a positive sign for defensive investors.

Technical Outlook and Price Target

Support and Resistance Levels

• Support: 27.00 TRY

• Resistance: 28.30 TRY

• Breakout Point: 29.00 TRY (psychological round number)

The current price range indicates DERHL is trading in a tight horizontal channel. A breakout above 28.30 TRY could trigger a push toward 30 TRY in the near term, especially if accompanied by strong volume.

However, any drop below 27.00 TRY might invalidate the short-term bullish structure, potentially leading to a retracement toward 25.80 TRY.

Technical Indicators

• Volume (Today): 11.78M

• Average Volume: 15.91M

• Trend Bias: Sideways-to-bullish

• Momentum: Neutral

Trading volume has dipped below its average, which may signal indecision among traders or a pending larger move.

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Risk Factors to Watch in 2025

• No earnings forecast or date: The lack of transparency around earnings reporting could hurt institutional confidence.

• High valuation: A P/E of 113.75 implies perfection; any revenue miss could result in aggressive downside.

• Illiquidity signs: Falling average volumes suggest that smaller orders might move the price more than expected.

• No dividend visibility: Investors seeking yield may rotate out if no dividend is reinstated.

Final Thoughts

DERHL stock has proven to be an exceptional outperformer with a five-year return nearing 2,000%. Its deflation of volatility (beta 0.03) and persistent market confidence are attractive features. 

However, the extremely high P/E ratio and absence of dividend payouts or new earnings guidance raise legitimate concerns.

If you already hold DERHL, a cautious hold strategy with trailing stop-losses could be prudent. For new investors, waiting for a clear breakout above 28.30 TRY or a pullback closer to 25 TRY may offer a better risk-reward entry.

Unless earnings projections are released or dividend reinstatements occur, DERHL remains a high-risk, high-reward growth stock in 2025.

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FAQs

Is DERHL a good stock to buy in 2025?

DERHL has delivered extraordinary returns, but its high valuation and lack of earnings clarity make it a speculative buy.

What is DERHL's P/E ratio?

The trailing P/E ratio is 113.75, indicating high growth expectations priced into the stock.

Has DERHL paid any dividends recently?

No. The last known dividend date was June 30, 2020. There is no forward dividend or yield listed as of July 2025.

What is the stock forecast for DERHL in the short term?

Short-term resistance is around 28.30 TRY. A breakout above that level could lead to a test of 30 TRY. Support remains near 27.00 TRY.

How has DERHL performed compared to the BIST 100?

DERHL has far outpaced the BIST 100, returning 138% in one year versus 2.75% for the index.