Bubba Wallace on Polymarket: Trending Guide on Chances

The 2025 NASCAR Grant Park 165 is generating buzz across both traditional sportsbooks and decentralized prediction markets like Polymarket. Among the many drivers listed, Bubba Wallace has emerged in discussions, not as a favorite but as a deep long shot.

As traders and crypto-savvy speculators scan Polymarket for undervalued positions, Wallace remains near the bottom of the board. 

Despite a notable presence in NASCAR, the market currently prices his win probability at less than 1%, with little evidence to suggest momentum behind his chances.

Bubba Wallace Odds on Polymarket and Bookmakers

Polymarket currently lists “Yes” shares for Bubba Wallace to win the Grant Park 165 at around 7.9¢ to 8.0¢. This implies a sub-1% chance of victory, since shares pay $1 if correct.

Across traditional sportsbooks:

• Odds range from +13,000 to +25,000
• This puts Wallace in “deep sleeper” territory with little traction among bettors
• The pricing closely mirrors Polymarket’s bearish assessment

Compared to favorites like Shane van Gisbergen or Kyle Larson, Wallace is a long shot with no major uptick in support or liquidity behind him.

Read Also: How to Use Polymarket - Guide and Examples

Crypto Prediction Market Trends for Bubba Wallace

Minimal Trading Volume

• Trading activity for Wallace on Polymarket is thin, with recent volume between $33 and $1,201
• No indication of market movement, sharp money, or whale bets backing an upset
• Sentiment remains flat, even after qualifying sessions or practice rounds

Bearish Sentiment Holds Steady

• Odds haven’t improved, even marginally
• No recent headlines or events have shifted market positioning
• Compared to other long shots, Wallace’s price remains stagnant

In prediction markets, low liquidity combined with flat odds is often a signal that smart traders see little value in the position.

Factors Driving Bubba Wallace’s Long Shot Status

Wallace’s record on road and street circuits plays a big role in his odds:

• 2025 performance has been stable but unspectacular, with no standout road course results
• Grant Park’s street layout doesn’t favor Wallace’s historical strengths
• Strong favorites like van Gisbergen, McDowell, and Larson suppress prices for others

The markets have shown no willingness to reprice Wallace as a contender unless something drastic happens during race weekend.

Read Also: Polymarket Eyes Launch of Stablecoin in Bold U.S. Expansion Strategy

How to Interpret the Odds for Traders and Bettors

If you’re considering Bubba Wallace as a speculative play on Polymarket:

• Treat it as a high-risk lottery ticket
• There’s no trend-based or data-backed justification for an entry
• Be cautious of overleveraging or chasing long shots without signals

Unless there’s a significant shift—such as chaos on the track, unexpected weather, or qualifying surprises, Wallace’s implied win percentage is likely to remain near zero.

Final Thought

Bubba Wallace’s odds for the 2025 NASCAR Grant Park 165 reflect more hope than hype. 

Both Polymarket and traditional sportsbooks have him pegged as a deep outsider, with sub-1% win probabilities and little market interest. 

For crypto traders, this is a textbook case of sentiment-driven stagnation: unless the narrative shifts, Wallace’s odds will stay frozen in long-shot territory.

Read Also: How Polymarket Works: An Overview

FAQ

What are Bubba Wallace’s odds to win the 2025 NASCAR Grant Park 165?

On Polymarket, his “Yes” shares are trading at around 8¢, translating to <1% implied odds. Bookmakers list him between +13,000 and +25,000.

Is Bubba Wallace trending on Polymarket?

No. There is minimal trading volume and no indication of rising sentiment or price momentum around his chances.

What affects Bubba Wallace’s low odds in this race?

Wallace has limited success on street circuits, and dominant drivers like Shane van Gisbergen are crowding out lesser contenders in the market.

Can Bubba Wallace be considered a value pick?

Currently, no. Without a sharp market move or unexpected development, Wallace’s price reflects sentiment that he’s not competitive for this event.

Why do crypto traders use Polymarket to bet on NASCAR events?

Polymarket offers decentralized, real-time prediction markets where users can speculate on outcomes using crypto, often with different pricing dynamics than traditional books.